Here is a November blog post from a Forbes magazine reporter that is not good news for PATH or PJM’s projections.
In 2009, New York City’s Economic Development Corporation retained Charles River Associates to develop a master electrical transmission plan for New York City. The plan considered the environmental and economic impacts of a range of long-term transmission planning scenarios, including a 500 MW offshore wind farm. The analysis concluded that in-city generation projects provided the most substantial benefits. The offshore wind farm was the runner-up. The final report recommended a coordinated effort “to address the technical and economic challenges posed by offshore wind power.”
This effort is set to accelerate over the next two years if the New York State Public Service Commission approves a multi-million dollar feasibility study of offshore wind power near New York City.
The article also points to the higher costs of offshore wind farm installation compared with onshore projects. These issues are very real and point to the need to end the massive government subsidies that coal power receives in order for the US to move forward on the scale that the Europeans, and now the Chinese, have been pursuing for the last two decades.
You will also see The Map on the Forbes post, with the same conclusions we drew almost two years ago. Keep in mind also that New York has its own regional transmission organization, New York ISO, and is not in any way constrained by PJM’s coal power favorites. So what will happen to PJM’s fear mongering about “eastern load zones” if NY city becomes self-sufficient in power?